VolSignals
VS3D · FOMC day dossier · Sep 16, 2026
SPX options, market-maker position · Wednesday, September 16, 2026 · announcement 2:00 PM ET

The FOMC Day Book - Wed, Sep 16

Three positions, each deconstructed by tenor: the market-maker position going into Wed, Sep 16 on the Tue, Sep 15 close marks, the position at the Wed, Sep 16 close, and the day's trades on their own (every line that changed, the same-day expiry excluded). Below that, the Sep 18 AM and PM expirations on a clock you can advance to their settlement, and the day's largest position changes by participant type, split at the 2:00 PM ET announcement.

-$0.53bn → -$1.75bnmarket-maker gamma per 1%, into the day → close
+$2.04bngamma added by the day's trades at 7,552
7,552 -0.44%SPX close · range 7,509 to 7,623
501,308 / 404,094customer contracts changed before / after 2:00 PM, ex-0DTE
01 · Three positions by tenor

Each profile re-marks the chosen position across a range of SPX levels five percent either side of its own close. The fill splits the total into seven tenors by days to expiry; the white line is the whole position. Levels are SPX cash.

Position
Frame
Greek
At the close level
Largest tenor
Flips inside 5%
Delta hedge
Charm
Vega
At the close level, by tenor (market makers)
TenorLinesGammaCharmVannaDelta · hedgeVega
1-7 days3,410+$0.34bn+$0.48bn+$0.00bn+$5.3bn · -13,990 ES-$1M
8-21 days3,541+$1.28bn-$0.40bn+$0.84bn-$4.4bn · +11,690 ES+$1M
22-45 days4,342-$0.48bn-$0.08bn+$0.16bn-$3.8bn · +9,940 ES-$13M
46-90 days2,989+$0.18bn+$0.04bn-$0.34bn-$2.1bn · +5,560 ES+$10M
91-180 days5,781-$1.61bn-$0.06bn+$0.51bn+$33.8bn · -89,620 ES-$96M
181-365 days8,301+$0.19bn-$0.01bn+$0.51bn-$38.8bn · +102,800 ES+$4M
365+ days3,951-$0.42bn+$0.00bn-$0.10bn-$19.9bn · +52,740 ES-$107M
Whole position32,315-$0.53bn-$0.03bn+$1.58bn-$29.9bn · +79,130 ES-$201M
TenorLinesGammaCharmVannaDelta · hedgeVega
1-7 days3,414-$0.08bn+$0.92bn-$0.10bn-$1.2bn · +3,140 ES+$2M
8-21 days3,540+$0.16bn-$0.34bn+$0.72bn-$4.9bn · +13,020 ES-$3M
22-45 days4,265-$0.14bn-$0.10bn+$0.18bn-$3.2bn · +8,530 ES-$8M
46-90 days3,088+$0.30bn+$0.03bn-$0.27bn+$0.1bn · -310 ES+$13M
91-180 days5,805-$1.67bn-$0.06bn+$0.50bn+$34.7bn · -91,900 ES-$98M
181-365 days8,331+$0.10bn-$0.01bn+$0.51bn-$39.3bn · +104,080 ES-$4M
365+ days3,957-$0.41bn+$0.00bn-$0.10bn-$20.5bn · +54,290 ES-$110M
Whole position32,400-$1.75bn+$0.46bn+$1.44bn-$34.3bn · +90,850 ES-$208M
TenorLinesGammaCharmVannaDelta · hedgeVega
1-7 days2,165+$1.70bn+$0.68bn-$0.06bn-$9.0bn · +23,790 ES+$2M
8-21 days2,170-$0.20bn+$0.01bn-$0.01bn-$0.3bn · +750 ES-$1M
22-45 days2,438+$0.57bn-$0.01bn+$0.03bn+$0.2bn · -450 ES+$8M
46-90 days1,015+$0.07bn-$0.01bn+$0.07bn+$2.3bn · -6,130 ES+$1M
91-180 days1,253-$0.04bn+$0.00bn-$0.02bn+$0.2bn · -590 ES-$1M
181-365 days888-$0.08bn+$0.00bn-$0.00bn-$0.5bn · +1,330 ES-$6M
365+ days344+$0.02bn-$0.00bn+$0.01bn-$0.4bn · +1,040 ES+$6M
Whole position10,273+$2.04bn+$0.67bn+$0.01bn-$7.5bn · +19,730 ES+$9M

Into the day = the Tue, Sep 15 close position on its own marks (level 7,586). At the close and the day's trades are marked on the Wed, Sep 16 close (level 7,552). The day's trades = every line whose position changed between the two closes, valued on the Wed, Sep 16 marks; the Wed, Sep 16 expiry is gone by the close and so is not in any of the three. Gamma in $ per 1% move, charm in $ of delta drift per day, vanna in $ of delta per vol point, vega in $ per vol point, all dealer-signed as held; hedge = the futures position that offsets the delta, negative = market makers sell.

02 · The Sep 18 expirations on a clock

The Sep 18 AM series (SPX, settles 9:30 AM ET Friday) and the Sep 18 PM series (SPXW, settles 4:00 PM ET Friday) as held at the Wed, Sep 16 close, with every line's implied vol held and its time to expiry reduced as the clock advances. Drag the slider or press play to move from the Wed, Sep 16 close to settlement in half-hour steps; the spot ladder stays around 7,552.

Series
Frame
Greek
At the close level
Share of the whole position
Flips inside 5%
Delta hedge
Charm
Lines alive
the series at the clock instantthe series at the Wed, Sep 16 closeWed, Sep 16 closeright: the value at 7,552 through the clock, playhead at the instant
The two series at the Wed, Sep 16 close (market makers)
SeriesLinesGross contractsGammaCharmVannaDelta · hedgeVegaLargest lines (market-maker net)
Sep 18 AM · SPX1,2231,872,750-$0.46bn-$0.59bn+$0.05bn+$5.0bn · -13,370 ES-$1M7,000C -204,154, 7,000P +191,703, 8,000P -140,459, 8,000C +140,066, 6,000C +67,243
Sep 18 PM · SPXW760361,992-$0.99bn+$0.81bn-$0.13bn+$0.3bn · -810 ES-$0M6,350P +34,466, 6,250P -32,244, 6,275P -23,369, 6,375P +23,228, 6,950P -6,431

Sticky-strike aging: each line keeps the implied vol it carried at the Wed, Sep 16 close while its time to expiry shrinks; lines past their settlement instant are dropped. The very last steps before settlement concentrate the remaining gamma at the nearest strikes, which is what the profile shows. The whole-position share uses the full position aged to the same instant.

03 · The day's largest position changes, before and after 2:00 PM

Position changes come from the participant positions file at three marks: the Tue, Sep 15 close, the 2:00 PM ET snapshot on Wed, Sep 16 (the last one at or before the announcement), and the Wed, Sep 16 close. Before = Tue, Sep 15 close to 2:00 PM; after = 2:00 PM to the close. Customers = customer plus professional-customer accounts. The same-day expiry has its own table. Boxes (four legs, equal size, one expiry) and the standing deep-put program pair are set aside from the ranking and listed at the end.

Participant, ex-0DTEGross beforeGross afterNet beforeNet afterGamma transferred before / afterVega before / after
Customers501,308404,094-48,8203,680-$0.64bn / -$0.22bn-$13M / -$1M
Market makers755,112471,4536,076-11,763+$0.90bn / +$1.13bn+$8M / +$1M
Firm accounts386,65499,08635,9702,618-$0.19bn / -$0.87bn+$4M / -$0M
Broker-dealers19,1689,4256,7745,465-$0.07bn / -$0.03bn+$1M / -$0M
Participant, Wed, Sep 16 expiry (0DTE)Gross beforeGross afterNet beforeNet after
Customers143,59169,57511,23526,635
Market makers146,06869,273-11,868-29,159
Firm accounts14,07111,359892,451
Broker-dealers1,76456554473

Gross = the sum of absolute position changes across lines; net = the signed sum (positive = the participant type added long contracts). Greek transfer = each line's change times its per-contract greek at the Wed, Sep 16 close, summed; positive gamma = the participant type took on long gamma.

Rank byShow

Contracts are signed from each participant type's side (positive = added long). "When" = the ten-minute interval that carried the largest change on the line, with the SPX print at that mark; before / after refers to that interval. Greek transfer ranks by the customer change times the line's vega at the close plus ten times its gamma. A line that changed hands between market makers and firm accounts without a customer side ranks by contracts only. Several lines that changed in the same interval are separate prints unless the quantities say otherwise.

04 · Read

Into the day, market makers held -$0.53bn of gamma per 1% at 7,586, with +$1.58bn of vanna per vol point and -$201M of vega per point. The 91-180-day tenor carried the largest share of the gamma (-$1.61bn); the 365+-day tenor carried the largest share of the vega (-$107M).

At the close, with SPX at 7,552 (-0.44% on the day, 7,509 to 7,623 on the session), the same position read -$1.75bn of gamma, +$1.44bn of vanna and -$208M of vega. The day's trades on their own added +$2.04bn of gamma and +$0.67bn of charm at the close level, +$9M of vega; the rest of the change from -$0.53bn to -$1.75bn is the re-mark of the surviving lines at the new spot, surface and one day less to expiry, plus the roll-off of the Wed, Sep 16 expiry.

Gamma flips at the close: 7,332 / 7,458 / 7,606; into the day: 7,363 / 7,498 / 7,603. The largest tenor in the close gamma is the 91-180-day tenor at -$1.67bn; the 1-7-day tenor is where the day's trades put the most gamma (+$1.70bn).

The Sep 18 AM series carried -$0.46bn of gamma and -$0.59bn of charm at the close level with 1,872,750 gross contracts; the PM series -$0.99bn and +$0.81bn on 361,992. Aged to Thursday's close at an unchanged 7,552, the AM series reads -$0.48bn of gamma with a -13,100 ES hedge (-13,370 ES at the close), the PM series -$1.87bn with -3,060 ES (-810 ES). The clock above shows the last half-hours before each settlement, where the remaining gamma concentrates at the nearest strikes.

Before 2:00 PM, customers changed 501,308 contracts ex-0DTE and 143,591 in the same-day expiry; after it, 404,094 and 69,575. Market makers took on +$0.90bn of gamma through the customer-facing lines before the announcement and +$1.13bn after, with +$8M and +$1M of vega. 12 of the 40 largest ex-0DTE lines saw more of their change after 2:00 PM than before.

The top line by contracts, Dec 18 7,000 put (AM): customers bought 5,336, market makers sold 9,181, firm accounts bought 3,845, 10:10 AM (before). In the same-day expiry, Sep 16 7,500 put: customers sold 16,272, 10:20 AM (before). The vanna explorer carries the same position through the last two years of proprietary data.